1. Metals Outlook
  2. Daily Base Metals Report

US stocks opened higher today following the release of PCE data, which indicated that price pressures are rising at the lowest annual rate since March 2021. The closely watched inflation gauge softened to 2.6% YoY in May compared to 2.7% YoY, which aligns with expectations. The first half of the year has seen a continuous repricing of investors' expectations regarding the start of the Fed's monetary easing. While traders had anticipated at least six rate cuts earlier in 2024, they now expect only two, starting in September. The dollar index decreased below the 106 level, while the 10-year US Treasury yield declined to 4.29%.

Base metals strengthened across the board today. While softer dollar moves helped the momentum on the upside, we believe the main reason behind the risk-on appetite was markets rejecting prices below current support levels. In particular, copper solidified the support at $9,500/t and edged higher to $9,599/t. Likewise, aluminium tested prices below $2,500/t, but appetite reversed below that level, prompting prices to increase to $2,524.50/t. The rest of the complex followed suit.

Gold softened to $2,325/oz, while silver remained mostly unchanged at $29.20/oz. Oil prices softened slightly, with WTI and Brent crude at $81.20/bbl and $86.30/bbl, respectively.

Lme Metals Price And Volume 28062024

All price data is from 28.06.2024 as of 17:30

Disclaimer

This is a marketing communication. The information in this report is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be regarded as a recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in any particular investment. Please be aware that, where any views have been expressed in this report, the author of this report may have had many, varied views over the past 12 months, including contrary views.

A large number of views are being generated at all times and these may change quickly. Any valuations or underlying assumptions made are solely based upon the author’s market knowledge and experience.

Please contact the author should you require a copy of any previous reports for comparative purposes. Furthermore, the information in this report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. All information in this report is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy.

This report is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Accordingly, the information may have been acted upon by us for our own purposes and has not been procured for the exclusive benefit of customers. Sucden Financial believes that the information contained within this report is already in the public domain. Private customers should not invest in these products unless they are satisfied that the products are suitable for them and they have sought professional advice. Please read our full risk warnings and disclaimers.

Sign up to get the latest market insights

We will email you each time a new report has been published.