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Expert gold market insights

Our quarterly gold outlook is published in our Quarterly Metals Report, which covers base, precious and ferrous metals. The impact of supply and demand fundamentals and macroeconomic implications for gold is analysed. Our research team produce gold price range forecasts as part of the report.

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Gold Outlook – Q4 2024

As we enter Q4 2024, further Fed easing and inflationary concerns linked to upcoming US elections are expected to sustain gold's appeal. Demand from central banks, especially in countries with regional instabilities like Poland and Turkey, strengthens the metal’s upward momentum. Overall, gold appears well-positioned to surpass $2,800/oz by year-end.

Metals

As we enter Q4 2024, several trends from the previous quarter continue to persist. The central banks began their interest rate cutting cycles, with the Fed initiating a 50bps cut at its first meeting. The ECB is on a similar path, but it is facing strong pressures to cut due to the weakening performance of the Eurozone, which is creating a larger yield differential compared to the US. In China, authorities are aiming to stimulate the economy through fiscal and monetary policy measures; however, they are struggling to restore market confidence, particularly in the construction sector. These factors, combined with the upcoming US elections in November, create a strong likelihood of increased volatility. In this report, we will examine the potential trajectories for base, ferrous, and precious metals in the final months of the year.

Q4 2024